Will Home Prices Fall in Turkey? What Experts Say for 2026

The Turkish real estate market has been one of the most discussed topics in recent years—both for investors and for people looking to buy a home. As we approach 2026, questions such as “Will home prices fall?” or “Is it better to wait or buy now?” are becoming even more common.

So, what do experts and market dynamics really suggest for 2026? Let’s take a realistic, data-driven look—without exaggeration or speculation.


The Current State of the Turkish Housing Market

As of late 2025, home prices in Turkey continue to rise in nominal terms—meaning listed prices are still increasing. However, this does not always translate into real gains for buyers.

  • High inflation limits real price growth

  • Overall sales volumes have slowed down

  • Buyers are making decisions more cautiously and selectively

This indicates that the market is not heading toward a sharp decline, but rather moving into a period of balance and normalization.


Do Experts Expect Home Prices to Fall in 2026?

1. A Sharp Price Drop Is Unlikely

Most experts agree that a significant and nationwide price drop in 2026 is unlikely. The main reasons include:

  • Limited housing supply

  • Persistently high construction costs

  • Continued demand in major cities and coastal regions

These factors make a rapid decline in prices difficult.


2. Real (Inflation-Adjusted) Prices May Remain Flat

A more realistic scenario for 2026 is stability in real prices.

In other words:

  • Asking prices may continue to rise

  • But after adjusting for inflation, prices may remain flat or show only minor changes

This trend is especially expected in large metropolitan areas and mature markets.


3. Regional Differences Will Be Key

Turkey’s real estate market does not move as a single unit. In 2026, regional differences will continue to play a major role:

  • Istanbul, Ankara, Izmir: Prices may remain largely stable

  • Antalya, Alanya, Aegean coastal areas: Strong domestic and international demand may keep prices more resilient

  • Smaller cities: Limited demand could lead to localized price softening

For this reason, broad statements like “prices will fall across Turkey” can be misleading.


Possible Scenarios for 2026

🔹 Scenario 1: Market Stabilization (Most Likely)

  • Nominal prices increase

  • Real prices remain flat

  • A healthier, more sustainable market structure emerges

🔹 Scenario 2: Regional Slowdown

  • Prices stabilize in certain cities

  • Negotiation opportunities increase, especially in the resale market

🔹 Scenario 3: Limited and Localized Declines

  • Temporary price corrections may occur in low-demand areas

  • No widespread national price drop


Advice for Homebuyers in 2026

  • Avoid making decisions based solely on short-term price predictions

  • Evaluate locations based on long-term potential and quality of life, not just price

  • If the purchase is for long-term living, timing the market should not be the only factor

  • With the right guidance, well-priced opportunities can be found in any market condition


Conclusion: Will Home Prices in Turkey Fall in 2026?

The short and clear answer:
A sharp nationwide price decline is not expected.

Instead, 2026 is likely to be a year of stability, selective opportunities, and a more balanced market. Buyers who focus on the right location, fair pricing, and professional guidance will continue to find strong opportunities.


Make Confident Real Estate Decisions with Daisy Homes

At Daisy Homes, we analyze the Turkish real estate market not only as it is today, but with a clear vision of the future. Our goal is not short-term speculation, but long-term value, trust, and informed decision-making for our clients.

🌼 Daisy Homes

Slogan: Live with Confidence. Invest with Value.

📞 Phone: +90 530 350 83 66
📧 Email: [email protected]
📍 Instagram: @daisyhomesalanya

Whether you are planning to buy a home, invest in property, or simply seek reliable market insights in Turkey—our expert team is here to guide you every step of the way.